The UFC returns to its APEX facility this Saturday with UFC Vegas 105, featuring a compelling featherweight main event between top contenders Josh Emmett and Lerone Murphy. This fight is crucial for both athletes: Murphy aims to solidify his contender status, while Emmett looks to regain his position in the title conversation at 145 pounds. Let`s examine the key matchups and potential outcomes for this weekend`s event.
Pat Sabatini (+190) vs. Joanderson Brito
In the co-main event, Pat Sabatini faces Joanderson Brito in an intriguing matchup. While Brito is on a strong UFC run, Sabatini at +190 odds presents good value. This fight is a classic striker versus grappler scenario, although Brito is also capable in grappling exchanges. Brito`s grappling defense is likely sufficient to avoid submissions, but if the fight goes to the ground, Sabatini`s superior control and grappling skills should lead him to victory. Sabatini`s wrestling ability should enable him to dictate where the fight takes place.
Talita Alencar (-114) vs. Vanessa Demopoulos
Opening the event, Talita Alencar meets Vanessa Demopoulos in a fight that hinges on grappling. Demopoulos is primarily a grappler, but Alencar possesses a higher level of grappling expertise. Alencar`s world championship-level BJJ background surpasses Demopoulos`s grappling skills. Furthermore, Demopoulos`s wrestling isn`t strong, making it unlikely the fight will remain standing for long periods of striking exchanges. Expect this fight to go to the ground, where Alencar holds a significant advantage.
Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy – Decision No Bet (+140)
The main event between Josh Emmett and Lerone Murphy features wide betting odds, which may be overstated. Despite Emmett`s age of 40 and recent inactivity, he remains a dangerous opponent. Murphy, while skilled, is not considered an elite fighter and has shown vulnerability to strikes in the past. Emmett`s renowned punching power makes him a constant knockout threat.
Instead of directly betting on Emmett as an underdog, a safer approach is the “Decision No Bet.” This wager pays out if Emmett wins by knockout, and refunds the bet if the fight goes to a decision (regardless of who wins). Essentially, you are betting on an Emmett KO victory, while mitigating risk if the fight becomes a decision win for Murphy.
Luis Gurule (-265) vs. Ode Osbourne
Luis Gurule will face Ode Osbourne in a flyweight main card bout. Although initially underestimated as a prospect, Gurule`s credentials warrant more respect. A former Furc FC champion and D-II college wrestler, Gurule is well-prepared for professional competition. His strengths lie in grappling and cardio. His main drawback is his age, 31. Osbourne is a known quantity, and Gurule is expected to control the fight through his wrestling.
Daniel Frunza (-158) vs. Rhys McKee
Daniel Frunza is favored to win his preliminary welterweight fight against Rhys McKee. Frunza is a determined striker with a style reminiscent of Bryan Barberena. Rhys McKee, on the other hand, has struggled in the UFC, currently holding an 0-4 record across two stints. McKee is likely to engage Frunza in a striking battle, which favors Frunza due to his greater tenacity and resilience. McKee is likely to extend his UFC losing streak to 0-5.
Parlay these two bets together for +124 odds.
After a challenging start to 2025, recent weeks have shown improvement. Following a successful week at UFC Mexico, the aim is to continue this momentum into UFC 314 fight week.
Enjoy the fights this week, and good luck with your viewing!
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