UFC returns to Mexico City this Saturday!
Arena CDMX in Mexico City will host UFC Mexico City, headlined by a flyweight battle between former two-time champion Brandon Moreno and former title challenger Steve Erceg. There are 12 more fights on the card, so let`s explore the best bets for this weekend.
Kelvin Gastelum (+240)
Gastelum faces Joe Pyfer in a main card fight. The odds for Gastelum have shifted significantly, initially being as high as +400. Despite this, he remains a strong underdog with a genuine chance of winning. Pyfer, once considered a rising star, showed vulnerabilities against Jack Hermansson. Gastelum`s resilience and strong chin make him a worthwhile bet at these odds, especially against an opponent who might be overhyped.
Brandon Moreno to Win & Round 2 to Start (-185)
This bet offers better odds than simply betting on Moreno to win outright at -250. Moreno is expected to defeat Erceg due to his superior and more diverse fighting skills. While Erceg is a good boxer, his wrestling defense is weaker. Moreno has a varied striking game and a solid chin, making him a difficult opponent for Erceg. Moreno is likely to win, and considering he hasn`t had a first-round finish in the UFC since 2020, a win after the first round is a reasonable expectation.
Raul Rosas Jr. by Points (+105)
Rosas Jr. is heavily favored against Vince Morales, due to his talent and UFC promotion. Rosas should be able to utilize his grappling skills to secure a victory. However, Morales is durable and hasn`t been submitted since 2018, even against strong opponents. This suggests the fight is likely to go to the judges` scorecards.
Loopy Godinez by Points (-155)
Godinez is fighting Julia Polastri on the prelims and is widely expected to win. Her recent losses were against top-level fighters Virna Jandiroba and Mackenzie Dern. Polastri`s recent win was a split decision against Cory McKenna. Godinez`s pressure and grappling should be too much for Polastri, but Godinez is not known for finishes, indicating a decision victory.
David Martinez (-400)
Martinez debuts in the UFC against Saimon Oliveira, in a favorable matchup. Oliveira is 0-2 in the UFC and hasn`t fought in two years. Martinez is considered a polished and experienced fighter, ready for higher competition. The former Combate champion should showcase his skills.
Ateba Gautier (-430)
Gautier also makes his UFC debut against Jose Daniel Medina in another setup fight. Gautier, a physically impressive fighter, is compared to Melvin Manhoef and needs development. Medina is an appropriate opponent to allow Gautier to gain experience without significant risk.
Combining the bets on David Martinez and Ateba Gautier as a parlay gives odds of -185.
After a successful weekend with UFC London, hopefully, the winning streak continues with UFC Mexico.
Enjoy the fights, good luck, and please gamble responsibly.
Disclaimer: This content is for entertainment and news purposes only. Please ensure you are aware of and comply with online gambling laws in your region before placing bets.
