The Dallas Stars face a crucial test to extend their season as they prepare to host the Edmonton Oilers in Game 5 of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs Western Conference Final this Thursday. Despite starting the series strong with a commanding 6-3 victory, the Stars have since lost three consecutive games, putting them on the brink of elimination and trailing the series 3-1. The vital Game 5 showdown is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas.
Current betting odds position Dallas as the favorite on the money line at -129 (wager $129 to win $100), while Edmonton enters as a +109 underdog (wager $100 to win $109). The expected total goals for the game is set at 6. For those considering the puck line, the Stars are -1.5 with odds of +191.
Analytical predictions for this matchup come from SportsLine`s simulation model, which runs every NHL game 10,000 times. This model has shown significant success during the 2025 NHL playoffs, particularly with top-rated picks on puck lines and over/under bets, having delivered substantial returns for bettors.
SportsLine`s Top Betting Picks for Stars vs. Oilers Game 5:
- Stars on the money line (-130)
- Under 6 total goals (-115)
Even though the Edmonton Oilers have controlled the series over the past three games, SportsLine`s projection model leans towards the Dallas Stars securing a win on home ice to avoid elimination. Dallas previously held a strong home record, winning seven straight games at the American Airlines Center before suffering a 3-0 shutout loss to Edmonton in Game 2. The model`s simulations predict the Stars winning outright in nearly 60% of the simulated outcomes.
The recommendation for the Under 6 total goals is supported by the scoring patterns seen in the series so far, with the Under hitting in two out of the first four contests. Furthermore, the Under has been a frequent result for both teams throughout the season, occurring in 55% of their games. A contributing factor is the performance of Oilers goaltender Stuart Skinner, who has been outstanding recently, allowing only two goals over the last three games, including a shutout victory in Game 2 in Dallas.
For additional betting insights, the SportsLine model also offers predictions for Stars vs. Oilers Game 5 prop bets. SportsLine also features other expert analysis, such as picks from their top NHL expert, Matt Severance, known for a successful track record on NHL side bets.
