This article provides a preview of Game 5 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Final featuring the Edmonton Oilers and the Florida Panthers.
The series is currently tied 2-2, after the Oilers successfully rallied from a 3-0 deficit in Game 4 to win 5-4 in overtime, leveling the contest.
Game 5 is set to take place on Saturday at Rogers Place in Edmonton.
Betting odds position Edmonton as a slight favorite on the money line (-111), with Florida listed as a -109 underdog.
The over/under for total goals scored is set at 6.5, and the Oilers have a puck line of -1.5 (+204).
Analytical models have provided predictions for this crucial matchup.
Key insights from the model and previous game analysis include:
- Tight Series: Game 4 was the sixth time in seven recent meetings between these teams that the outcome was decided by just one goal. Games 1, 2, and 4 all went into overtime.
- High Scoring: The Over 6.5 total goals has been reached in all four previous games in this series. Games 1 and 3 saw a total of seven goals, while Games 2 and 4 featured nine goals each. Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky has faced a high volume of shots, making over 30 saves in each game, suggesting the offensive pressure is consistent.
Based on simulations, some potential best bets for Game 5 (odds subject to change) are:
- Florida Panthers +1.5 on the puck line (-253)
- Over 6.5 total goals (-115)
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NHL game extensively, has performed well on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under picks during the playoffs. According to the model`s analysis, Florida is projected to cover the +1.5 puck line in over 70% of simulations for Game 5.
For those interested in further wagering opportunities, the model also offers NHL parlay picks for Game 5 of the Panthers vs. Oilers series.