Senators vs. Maple Leafs odds, prediction, props: Free 2025 NHL playoffs Game 3 best bets from proven model

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The Ottawa Senators face a challenging situation, trailing 2-0 in the 2025 NHL playoffs series against the Toronto Maple Leafs as they return home for Game 3 on Thursday. They suffered a 6-2 loss in Game 1 but put up a strong fight in Game 2 at Scotiabank Arena, forcing overtime. Ultimately, the Maple Leafs secured a 3-2 win with a Max Domi wrist shot, taking a commanding series lead. Game 3 is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Betting odds indicate Ottawa is a -126 money line favorite (bet $126 to win $100), while Toronto is the +105 underdog (bet $100 to win $105). The total goals over/under is set at 5.5. Ottawa also has a -1.5 puck line handicap at +198.

Before placing bets on the Maple Leafs vs. Senators game, consider reviewing the NHL predictions provided by SportsLine`s established model.

Maple Leafs +1.5 on the puck line (-240)

Toronto is currently on a seven-game winning streak, dating back to April 9, and has covered the puck line in each of those games. While the two most recent matchups at Canadian Tire Centre were one-goal decisions, the SportsLine projection model predicts the Leafs will continue their strong performance, winning in over 70% of simulations.

Auston Matthews anytime goal-scorer (+125)

The three-time Rocket Richard Trophy recipient has yet to score in the current postseason but is close to breaking through. Matthews finished the regular season with a three-game goal streak. He has a strong record against the Senators, scoring 25 career goals in 35 games against them. This player prop bet is offered at +125 odds.

Nathan Kirkwood
Nathan Kirkwood

Nathan Kirkwood, based in Leeds, has established himself as a respected voice in British sports media over the past decade. Initially covering amateur MMA events, he's evolved into a versatile analyst focusing on combat sports and NBA basketball.

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