Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Final is scheduled for Thursday, featuring the Florida Panthers hosting the Edmonton Oilers. Florida currently leads the series 2-1, having secured a decisive 6-1 victory at home in the most recent game. The puck is set to drop for Game 4 at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida, at 8 p.m. ET.
Based on the latest odds for the Panthers vs. Oilers matchup, Florida is the money line favorite at -148 (requiring a $148 wager to win $100), while Edmonton is the underdog at +124 (wager $100 to win $124). The over/under for total goals in the game is set at 6.5. The Panthers are also favored on the puck line at -1.5 (+164). A significant trend in the 2025 NHL playoffs is the success of teams that score first, holding a 57-26 record. Florida is priced at -140 to open the scoring, with Edmonton at -102 to score first in regulation time.
For insights into potential betting opportunities, SportsLine`s projection model, which simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, offers predictions. This model has performed well, entering the second week of the 2025 Stanley Cup Final with a combined 80-56 record on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under picks, resulting in over $1,600 in returns for $100 bettors who followed its advice.
Model`s Recommended Bets for Game 4:
- Oilers +1.5 on the puck line (-200)
- Under 6.5 total goals (-120)
While the Panthers achieved a significant win in Game 3, the model forecasts Game 4 to be a much closer affair, favoring the Oilers to cover the +1.5 puck line. Notably, the last five games between these two teams, including their previous Cup Final encounters and the initial two games of this series (both decided in overtime), have been decided by a single goal. Edmonton has demonstrated resilience throughout these playoffs, having lost consecutive games only once and bouncing back strongly, as seen in their 7-4 win against the Los Angeles Kings earlier in the postseason. SportsLine`s simulations predict the Oilers covering the puck line in more than 70% of outcomes.
The “Under” on total goals has not hit in the series thus far, but the model anticipates Game 4 leaning towards a more defensive battle. A key factor supporting this is the performance of Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky, who was outstanding in Game 3, allowing just one goal on 33 shots. This was his strongest outing since Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Final against the Carolina Hurricanes, where he also kept the opponent under three goals.
