The Edmonton Oilers, led by Connor McDavid, face a crucial challenge as they return home to host the Los Angeles Kings in Game 3 of their 2025 NHL playoffs first-round series on Friday. Edmonton is currently down 2-0 in the series. The Oilers showed offensive flashes in Game 1, scoring four goals in the third period, but ultimately lost 6-5 at Crypto.com Arena. Game 2 saw the Kings take a commanding lead with a 6-2 victory, powered in part by two goals from Adrian Kempe. The puck drop for Game 3 is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET from Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Entering Game 3, Edmonton is positioned as the favorite on the money line, while Los Angeles is the underdog. The total number of goals scored is set with an over/under line of 6.
Expert analysis and predictions are available for this matchup. Here are some key considerations:
Under 6 goals
Although the first two games featured high scores, this trend may not continue as the series moves to Edmonton. The Kings had a significantly different goal differential on the road compared to at home during the regular season. The Oilers also saw the Under hit in three of their last four home games of the 2024-25 campaign. Despite L.A.`s consecutive six-goal performances, statistical models suggest the Under is a likely outcome in Game 3.
Darnell Nurse Over 2.5 blocked shots
Veteran defenseman Darnell Nurse has demonstrated a tendency to block shots effectively against Los Angeles, recording 10 blocks in his last three outings against them, including six in Game 1 alone. His performance on home ice was strong during the regular season, and his ability to disrupt Kings` shots will be vital for Edmonton`s defense in Game 3.
Adrian Kempe 2+ points
Los Angeles winger Adrian Kempe has been in excellent form, registering two or more points in five of his last six games and securing at least one point in 10 of his last 11 games dating back to late March. His contribution, particularly on the power play, is expected to be significant as the Kings aim to extend their series lead.
