Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers aim to tie the series as they host the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs conference semifinals on Monday. After the Oilers secured a 5-4 overtime win in Las Vegas in Game 2, the Golden Knights responded with a 4-3 victory in Edmonton in Game 3. The game is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
For the latest odds, Edmonton is the -123 money line favorite, with Vegas as the +103 underdog. The total goals over/under is set at 6.5, and the Oilers have a -1.5 puck line at +185.
A proven projection model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times. It has a strong track record in the 2025 NHL playoffs, particularly on top-rated puck-line and over/under picks, showing positive returns for those who followed.
Golden Knights +1.5 (-227)
The model predicts another close game, similar to Games 2 and 3 which were decided by a single goal. Looking back at the last four meetings, including the regular season, three were one-goal games, with decisions often coming in the third period or later. The model indicates the Golden Knights are projected to cover the puck line in over 70% of simulations.
Under 0.5 goals in first 10 minutes (+140)
Neither the Oilers nor the Golden Knights have scored within the first 10 minutes of play in any game during this playoff series. The most recent time either team scored against the other in the initial 10 minutes was during a regular-season game on December 14, 2024, when Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scored at the 2:24 mark in an eventual 6-3 Oilers win.
Evander Kane Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+120)
Evander Kane`s physical play has been notable in this series, but he has also been creating scoring opportunities. So far in the playoffs, he has recorded 44 shot attempts, resulting in 20 shots on goal. Kane has exceeded the 2.5 shots on goal mark in four out of his eight postseason games.
