The Winnipeg Jets travel to St. Louis this Friday with the goal of eliminating the Blues in Game 6 of the opening round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The series has seen a distinct home-ice advantage, with the host team winning every game so far. The Blues must maintain this trend on their home ice to force a deciding Game 7, scheduled for Sunday back in Winnipeg.
According to the latest SportsLine consensus odds, the Blues are slight favorites for the game with a -121 money line at home. The Jets are listed as +101 road underdogs, despite having opened with favored odds themselves (-115). The projected total goals for the game is set at 5.5, with the `Under` receiving favorable odds at -130.
Jets forward Kyle Connor, a key offensive threat with nearly 100 points during the regular season, has been productive in this series, tallying four goals and four assists. His individual points prop line is currently set at 1.5 and is a central element of the featured same-game parlay for Friday`s matchup, developed with insights from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times to generate data-driven predictions. The model provides top-rated player prop picks for every game, assigning ratings up to five stars. These highly-rated picks offer valuable guidance for constructing winning parlays, including same-game parlay bets.
SportsLine Model`s Top Prop Picks for Game 6
Here are the model`s three highest-rated player prop selections for the Jets-Blues Game 6, indicating the potential payout for combining them into a same-game parlay:
Jets-Blues SGP (+469)
- Kyle Connor Under 1.5 total points (-235): 5 stars
- Josh Morrisey Under 0.5 total points (-118): 4 stars
- Pavel Buchnevich Under 0.5 total points (+116): 4 stars
The model predicts a low-scoring affair in St. Louis tonight, which is reflected in all three selected props being `Under` picks for total points. Kyle Connor is the only player in the game with a points prop line higher than 0.5 (set at 1.5), but the model anticipates him falling short, projecting just 0.4 total points. This aligns with Connor going under his total points prop in four of his last five games. Jets defenseman Josh Morrissey, who finished fourth in points for the team this season, has only recorded two points (both assists in Game 1) during this series. The model projects a mere 0.1 total points for him, noting his recent trend of failing to register a point in his last five road games against winning opponents. For the Blues, Pavel Buchnevich ranks fourth in team points this season and has seven points in the series, including a hat trick in Game 3. However, the model favors the `Under` on his 0.5 points prop line, projecting 0.3. He has gone under this line in four of the last five games where the Blues were the favored team.
