Game 5 between the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars was scheduled for Monday, April 28, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas. The series was tied 2-2 after four games, with both teams securing a win on the road. Colorado won the first game in Dallas, while the Stars claimed overtime victories in Games 2 and 3. The Avalanche delivered a dominant performance in Game 4, winning 4-0 with goals from Nathan MacKinnon and Gabriel Landeskog.
According to the latest SportsLine consensus odds, the Avalanche were -140 favorites on the moneyline (risking $140 to win $100), while the Stars were +118 home underdogs (risking $100 to win $118). The total was set at 6.
MacKinnon began the series impressively, scoring two goals and assisting one in Colorado`s 5-1 Game 1 victory. He scored only one combined goal in Games 2 and 3 but found the net again in the Game 4 win. Despite a slightly lower goal total (32) in the regular season, the Avalanche star achieved over 100 points for the third year running, largely due to his league-leading 84 assists. The question remained: which MacKinnon would perform in the crucial Game 5 on Monday?
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates each NHL game 10,000 times and provides top-rated player prop picks, visible under the `Prop Picks` section. Various player prop bets receive ratings up to five stars. These picks are valuable for constructing winning parlays on platforms like DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy, or Sleeper Fantasy, as well as for same-game parlays on any accessible betting platform.
Same-Game Parlay Pick: Avalanche vs. Stars (+314)
- Nathan MacKinnon Under 1.5 points (-184): 5 stars
- Martin Necas Over 1.5 shots on goal (-190): 5 stars
- Brock Nelson Over 1.5 shots on goal (-132): 5 stars
MacKinnon recorded one point or less in the three games leading up to Game 5 and was projected for just 0.4 points in Game 5 by the SportsLine model. He had gone under his points line in nine out of his last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Necas registered at least one shot on goal in the last three games and showed aggression on the road. The Avalanche center (as described in the original text) averaged 2.8 shots on goal over his last 12 road games, surpassing his shots on goal prop eight times. Nelson accumulated seven shots on goal over the two games prior to Game 5 and was projected for 2.4 shots on goal in Game 5 according to the SportsLine model.
