Facing a critical 0-2 deficit in their NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series against the Los Angeles Kings, the Edmonton Oilers return to home ice on Friday needing a win. The Kings took Game 1 with a narrow 6-5 victory and then dominated Game 2 on Wednesday with a 6-2 scoreline. For Edmonton to keep their Cup aspirations alive, Game 3 is crucial. During the regular season, the Oilers had a strong home record of 25-13-3, contrasting with the Kings` road record of just 17-19-5.
According to consensus odds, the Oilers are favored at home with -148 money-line odds, while the Kings are the underdogs at +124. The total goals line for the game is set at six.
For the Oilers to turn the series around, their star players must perform exceptionally. Edmonton boasts Connor McDavid, arguably the best player globally, and Leon Draisaitl, another elite talent. McDavid surpassed 100 points for the eighth time despite missing 15 games in the regular season, while Draisaitl led the NHL in goals with 52, having missed 11 contests. In the first two playoff games, McDavid has accumulated four points, and Draisaitl has three points, including two goals. These two players are central to the Friday NHL same-game parlay analysis, developed with insights from the SportsLine Projection Model. Notably, all three specific player prop picks featured in this parlay receive 5-star ratings from the model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, providing top-rated prop picks for various player statistics. These picks are assigned ratings up to five stars and are valuable for constructing winning parlays.SportsLine Top Player Prop Picks for Kings-Oilers Game 3
Below are the three top-rated player prop picks from the SportsLine model for Friday`s Kings-Oilers Game 3, combined into a potential same-game parlay with odds of +406:
- Connor McDavid: Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-130) – 5 stars
- Connor McDavid: Under 1.5 Total Points (-125) – 5 stars
- Leon Draisaitl: Under 1.5 Total Points (-170) – 5 stars
The model predicts McDavid will take numerous shots against Kings goaltender Darcy Kuemper but anticipates a limited scoring output. It projects McDavid for 3.5 shots on goal, comfortably exceeding the 2.5 line. He has averaged 4.2 shots in his last five home games where the Oilers were favored, surpassing this prop in four of those contests. However, concerning points, the model projects the Oilers` star to finish Friday with just 0.4 total points, well below his 1.5 line. McDavid has gone Under his total points prop in five of his last eight games against teams with winning records.
The model also favors the Under for Edmonton`s other star forward, Leon Draisaitl. His points prop is also 1.5, and the model projects him to score 0.6 points in Game 3 against the Kings. Draisaitl has finished Under his total points prop in four of his last five games when playing against teams with winning records, averaging 1.2 total points in those contests.
