Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs conference semifinals is set to take place on Tuesday, with the Dallas Stars hosting the Winnipeg Jets. Dallas currently holds a 2-1 advantage in the series after securing a 5-2 victory on Sunday. In that Game 3 win, forward Mikko Rantanen was notably productive. The upcoming crucial game is scheduled for an 8 p.m. ET start at the American Airlines Center in Dallas.
Looking at the betting landscape, the Dallas Stars are favored on the moneyline, listed at -150. The Winnipeg Jets are the underdogs at +125. The total number of goals for the game is set with an over/under line at 5.5. Additionally, the Stars have a puck line of -1.5 with odds of +173. Sports analysts have provided insights and projections for this matchup based on their models.
A sophisticated sports projection model, which simulates every NHL game multiple times, has analyzed this contest. This model has shown a strong performance track record during the 2025 NHL playoffs, particularly concerning puck-line and over/under wagers.
Expert Betting Recommendations
Based on analysis and model projections, here are some key betting insights for the Stars vs. Jets Game 4:
Over 5.5 Total Goals
There is a strong trend suggesting a higher scoring game is likely. The total has gone Over 5.5 in four of the Stars` five home playoff games this season. Similarly, every one of the Jets` four playoff road games has also seen the total exceed 5.5 goals. Winnipeg`s goaltender, Connor Hellebuyck, has conceded five or more goals in all of those road outings, contributing to the high totals. The prediction model also indicates a high probability for the total goals to go Over 5.5.
Mikko Rantanen Anytime Goal Scorer
Dallas forward Mikko Rantanen has been a significant offensive force in the playoffs, having accumulated 18 points (9 goals, 9 assists) through 10 games. He has been particularly effective on home ice, scoring at least one goal in each of the last three playoff games played in Dallas, including during Game 3.
Over 0.5 Goals Scored in the First 10 Minutes
Recent games in this series have started aggressively, with goals scored within the first 10 minutes of play in both Game 2 and Game 3. This trend aligns with the Stars` home performance, where three out of their five playoff games have featured a goal scored in the opening ten minutes. Furthermore, Jets netminder Connor Hellebuyck has allowed an early goal within the first 10 minutes in six of his ten playoff starts, suggesting a potential for quick offense.
