Sunday`s Game 4 features an Eastern Conference playoff clash as the Montreal Canadiens look to draw even in their series against the Washington Capitals. So far, home ice has been a significant advantage, with the home team winning all three contests. Washington secured victories in Games 1 and 2, while Montreal responded with a decisive 6-3 win at home in Game 3. The Capitals finished the regular season with the top record in the Eastern Conference, whereas the Canadiens were the final team from either conference to clinch a playoff berth.
Current betting odds show the Capitals as -128 favorites on the money line (meaning a $128 bet yields a $100 profit), according to SportsLine consensus. The Canadiens are listed as +108 underdogs (a $100 bet returns $108 profit). The total goals line is set at 6.
Alex Ovechkin, who became the NHL`s all-time leading goal scorer this season, has been a key player in this series, netting three goals through three games, including two in Washington`s 3-2 Game 1 victory. Ovechkin is a central figure in one of the legs of a potential same-game parlay for Sunday`s Capitals-Canadiens matchup, constructed with insights from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model provides detailed analysis by simulating every NHL game 10,000 times. It offers top-rated prop picks for numerous players, assigning star ratings up to five stars for various betting options. These model-backed picks are valuable for building winning parlays and same-game parlays across available betting platforms.
Based on the SportsLine model`s analysis, here are three highly-rated player prop picks for the Capitals-Canadiens Game 4 on Sunday, along with the potential payout if combined into a same-game parlay:
Capitals-Canadiens Same-Game Parlay
Potential Payout: +538
- Nick Suzuki Under 1.5 total points (-245): 5 stars
- Lane Hutson Under 0.5 total points (+128): 4.5 stars
- Alex Ovechkin Under 3.5 total shots on goal (-104): 4 stars
While Suzuki has scored two goals for the Canadiens this series, including in Friday`s win, these represent his only points. He has not exceeded 1.5 total points in any of the first three games. The model anticipates this trend continuing in Game 4, projecting just 0.3 points for the Canadiens` captain. He has stayed under this points total in three of his last five games, averaging 0.8 points per game over that period. Lane Hutson, a young Montreal defenseman, has contributed three assists in the series. However, the model projects him to register zero points against the Capitals in Game 4. Hutson has gone under his points prop in three of his last five games when Montreal was the underdog.
Regarding Alex Ovechkin, widely considered the greatest goal scorer in NHL history, he has led the league in shots on goal eleven times in his career and averaged 3.65 shots on goal this season. Despite his offensive prowess, the model recommends taking the Under on his 3.5 shots on goal line for Sunday`s game, projecting him to finish with 3.1 shots. Ovechkin has finished under his total shots on goal prop in four of his last six road games when the Capitals were favored, averaging 3.2 shots per contest in those situations.
